Alternative data retroscore, analysis, and implementation for a subprime personal lender

Background: AQN was hired to assess the line management strategy and recognized an opportunity to improve the data used in decisioning, bringing in a new data source to be used in credit policy

Outcome: AQN utilized the improved risk score to design new approve decline and line assignment policies expected to generate over $20MM in annual NPV

AQN’s Approach:

  • AQN contacted data vendors to discuss data sources and opportunities

  • AQN created a dataset of the client’s internal application stage data and performance data (where applicable) to maximize the value of the retroscore and the different types of analyses that could be performed

  • After validating the retroscore, AQN utilized machine learning techniques to identify the variables that best predicted risk and profitability

  • AQN leveraged findings from the analysis to design a new credit policy that better slopes risk/returns

Key Results:

  • AQN identified several variables that split risk incrementally to the existing credit policy, including a new risk score with significant sloping power

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